Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 16

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Sliema Wanderers		St. Andrews

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.29	4.6	8.5
	1.31	4.5	7
	1.35	4.9	7.19
	1.32	4.75	7.6
	1.33	4.8	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.51)	4.71 ↑ (4.05)	7.5 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sliema Wanderers
68.7%

Draw
19.2%

St. Andrews
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

22.1%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

20.9%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sliema Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sliema Wanderers's performance.

St. Andrews has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Andrews might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sliema Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Andrews could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Sliema Wanderers - St. Andrews Predictions

Users Predictions: Sliema Wanderers will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group) and 8 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sliema Wanderers won 3.

Sliema Wanderers in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches St. Andrews is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently St. Andrews have a series of home games.

In this match Sliema Wanderers is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sliema Wanderers to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Sliema Wanderers won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sliema Wanderers won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sliema Wanderers
Maltese Challenge League
17.12.22	Attard - Sliema Wanderers	0:4 ✺
13.12.22	Sliema Wanderers - Fgura United	2:1 ✺
10.12.22	Mtarfa - Sliema Wanderers	1:3 ✺
04.12.22	Sliema Wanderers - Marsaskala	5:1 ✺
13.11.22	Tarxien Rainbows - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWT
- St. Andrews FC
Maltese Challenge League
16.12.22	St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars	2:0 ✺
13.12.22	St. Andrews - Naxxar Lions	0:3 ✺
08.12.22	Attard - St. Andrews	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	St. Andrews - Fgura United	3:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
16.11.22	St. Andrews - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese FA Trophy
10.02.21	St. Andrews - Sliema Wanderers	1:0
Maltese Premier League
09.02.19	Sliema Wanderers - St. Andrews	1:1
Maltese FA Trophy
02.12.18	Sliema Wanderers - St. Andrews	2:0
Maltese Premier League
22.09.18	St. Andrews - Sliema Wanderers	0:2
10.03.18	Sliema Wanderers - St. Andrews	1:0
Maltese FA Trophy
02.12.17	St. Andrews - Sliema Wanderers	1:3
Maltese Premier League
05.11.17	St. Andrews - Sliema Wanderers	0:2

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