Match Info

SERBIA: Serbian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday


	Sloboda Užice		Napredak Kruševac

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.15	3.15	2.15
	2.97	2.87	2.38
	3.05	3	2.35	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	2.99	3.02	2.31
	3.15	3.15	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.7)	3.08 ↓ (3.33)	2.22 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sloboda Užice
29.7%

Draw
29.4%

Napredak Kruševac
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

27.5%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

25.4%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sloboda Užice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Napredak Kruševac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sloboda Užice than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Sloboda Užice - Napredak Kruševac Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Pavlovic L. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Pavlovic L. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sloboda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Napredak will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sloboda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Sloboda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Sloboda Užice
Serbian Prva Liga
26.10.24	Sloboda Užice - Mačva Šabac	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Smederevo - Sloboda Užice	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Sloboda Užice - Dubočica	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Sloven Ruma - Sloboda Užice	1:4 ✺
28.09.24	Sloboda Užice - Trayal Kruševac	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLTWT
- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga
27.10.24	Napredak Kruševac - Bačka Topola	0:3 ✺
18.10.24	Čukarički - Napredak Kruševac	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Napredak Kruševac - Novi Pazar	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Tekstilac Odžaci - Napredak Kruševac	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Napredak Kruševac - Mladost Lučani	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Cup
01.11.23	Sloboda Užice - Napredak Kruševac	0:1 penalties
Serbian Superliga
04.05.14	Napredak Kruševac - Sloboda Užice	3:1
09.11.13	Sloboda Užice - Napredak Kruševac	2:1

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