Match Info

Prva Liga - Round 29

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Radomir Antic (Uzice)


	Sloboda Užice		Radnik Surdulica

	1	X	2
	4.6	3	1.75
	4.7	3.15	1.76
	5.33	3.13	1.79	Watch
	5.45	3.06	1.7
	4.7	3.15	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↓ (7.35)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	1.75 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sloboda Užice
18.4%

Draw
29.5%

Radnik Surdulica
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

27.5%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

26.8%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sloboda Užice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sloboda Užice's performance.

Radnik Surdulica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Radnik Surdulica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sloboda Užice than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sloboda Užice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radnik Surdulica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sloboda Užice - Radnik Surdulica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Knezevic M. (G) 14. Charles S. 11. Djukic A. 15. Glisovic R. 20. Halabrin F. 3. Jakobi L. 26. Jankovic M. 28. Jovanovic M. 8. Raskovic S. 29. Savic M. 13. Sredojevic F.	99. Randjelovic S. (G) 33. Blagojevic U. 9. Bogdanovic V. 25. Djokovic M. 66. Gasic M. 4. Hajdarevic H. 88. Jovanovic D. 14. Orescanin M. 12. Pavlov E. 24. Stevanovic M. 6. Stojanovic D.
Substitutes
17. Agyemang S. 5. Brnovic M. 2. Dragicevic M. 24. Myung Se-Jin 9. Pavlovic L. 30. Petrovic B. 27. Radoman D. 18. Starcevic O. 10. Stojanovic I. 12. Vukadinovic V. (G)	17. Carapic S. 26. Ilic S. (G) 23. Milic A. 7. Owusu D. 10. Petrovic V. 8. Puzovic L. 54. Stojanovic M. 16. Tomic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', 0 - 1, Jovanovic D. ⚽,
50', 0 - 2, Stojanovic D. ⚽,
52', Charles S. ↓, Radoman D. ↑,
60', Jakobi L. 🟨,
61', Pavlov E. ↓, Petrovic V. ↑,
61', Bogdanovic V. ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
71', Gasic M. 🟨,
73', 🟨,
77', Djukic A. ↓, Starcevic O. ↑,
77', Sredojevic F. ↓, Petrovic B. ↑,
79', Jovanovic D. ↓, Carapic S. ↑,
82', 0 - 3, Hajdarevic H. ⚽,
85', Stevanovic M. ↓, Tomic M. ↑,
85', Stojanovic D. ↓, Stojanovic M. ↑,
86', Knezevic M. ↓, Vukadinovic V. ↑,
86', Jankovic M. ↓, Dragicevic M. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Sloboda Užice
Serbian Prva Liga
24.03.25	Mačva Šabac - Sloboda Užice	1:0 ✺
17.03.25	Sloboda Užice - Smederevo	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Dubočica - Sloboda Užice	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Sloboda Užice - Sloven Ruma	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Trayal Kruševac - Sloboda Užice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTTL
- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Prva Liga
26.03.25	Radnik Surdulica - Javor Ivanjica	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Radnik Surdulica - Mladost Novi Sad	3:0 ✺
16.03.25	Inđija - Radnik Surdulica	0:2 ✺
Serbian Cup
12.03.25	Radnik Surdulica - Partizan	0:3 ✺
Serbian Prva Liga
08.03.25	Zemun - Radnik Surdulica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
04.11.24	Radnik Surdulica - Sloboda Užice	2:0
Club Friendly
03.07.21	Radnik Surdulica - Sloboda Užice	2:2
Serbian Cup
26.10.16	Radnik Surdulica - Sloboda Užice	1:2

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