The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Slonim 26%
Draw 23.2%
Niva Dolbizno 50.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.2%
24.7%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
24.6%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slonim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Slonim's form might have worsened.
Niva Dolbizno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Niva Dolbizno's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slonim than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Slonim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niva Dolbizno than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Niva Dolbizno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Agapov A. (G) 10. Alenchev P. 77. Bulychev A. 15. Chizh A. 20. Glotko A. 66. Krutorozhkin K. 8. Mushulov R. 11. Papava V. 12. Semin I. 14. Tkatsevich M. 5. Vechorko D.
12. Dovnar N. (G) 23. Fedortsov D. 7. Galuza D. 88. Kozel R. 9. Kuratnik A. 21. Leshkevich N. 4. Milyutin V. 15. Monich I. 29. Pampukha P. 18. Shcherbo V. 8. Sibilev D.
Substitutes
55. Chuyko A. 88. Chuyko N. 2. Garbuz D. 9. Gomonov S. 99. Kalinchenko M. 19. Konev A. 76. Kutsko D. 1. Miskevich D. (G) 17. Sokol A. 18. Zhukovskiy A.
99. Bondarenko V. 3. Druchik M. 10. Dybin V. 35. Kashtelyan D. (G) 20. Martysevich A. 69. Mashagin E. 77. Shubovich V. 47. Skomarovskiy V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Milyutin V. ⚽, Fedortsov D. (A),
9', Mushulov R. 🟨,
14', Dovnar N. 🟥,
15', Pampukha P. ↓, Kashtelyan D. ↑,
16', Alenchev P. (Penalty Awarded),
22', 1 - 1, Mushulov R. ⚽, Chizh A. (A),
23', 2 - 1, Papava V. ⚽, Tkatsevich M. (A),
36', 2 - 2, Galuza D. ⚽, Fedortsov D. (A),
41', Kuratnik A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Alenchev P. ↓, Konev A. ↑,
61', 🟨,
66', Kuratnik A. ↓, Skomarovskiy V. ↑,
67', Monich I. ↓, Bondarenko V. ↑,
86', Milyutin V. ↓, Druchik M. ↑,
87', Kozel R. ↓, Shubovich V. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga (Promotion: )).
Slonim has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Niva is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Niva could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slonim won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Slonim won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Niva Dolbizno
27
17
4
6
67:31
36
55
5
FC Slonim
27
14
5
8
49:32
17
47
Last Results with these Odds
Niva Dolbizno - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.06%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.