The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BATE 2 19.5%
Draw 20.9%
BumProm Gomel 59.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.2%
22.3%
58.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
17.3%
45.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BATE 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
BumProm Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE 2 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BATE 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BumProm Gomel than the current prediction. (-14.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BumProm Gomel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Zhurba V. (G) 17. Apanasevich K. 9. Hryvianiou Y. 8. Kolosovskiy P. (C) 21. Kuimov I. 77. Kuzmenok Y. 47. Machnach E. 10. Rusakov E. 4. Shcherbakov N. 14. Telesh M. 24. Yatskevich V.
93. Isachenko E. (G) 11. Dubrovskiy V. 17. Fastovets V. 72. Fazylov A. 5. Kaplunov D. 4. Kruzhilin S. 77. Latychov 91. Miroevskiy A. 21. Ovsyanik N. 19. Vershinin G. 8. Zhestkin I.
Substitutes
7. Aliyev R. 22. Gavrilov M. 6. Karpovich M. 66. Kisel V. 16. Klyakin M. (G) 27. Nikolaev E. 3. Shakhnovich E. 68. Starikov E. 11. Titov M. 18. Yarmolich A.
47. Kabyshev A. 2. Kutkovich G. 29. Samotoy M. 1. Syrel T. (G) 95. Tychko M. 22. Yegorov 59. Zhevnerenko A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Vershinin G. ⚽,
10', 🟨,
13', 🟨,
15', 🟨,
21', 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Kuimov I. ⚽, Yatskevich V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, Tychko M. ⚽, Dubrovskiy V. (A),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
BATE 2 has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
BumProm has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
BATE 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, BumProm is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, BATE 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:10. (average 0:3.3).