Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 24

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Slonim)


	Slonim		Lokomotiv Gomel

	1	X	2
	6.33	4.05	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.33 ↑ (2.84)	4.05 ↑ (3.2)	1.44 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slonim
14.4%

Draw
22.5%

Lokomotiv Gomel
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

28.7%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

28.8%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slonim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Slonim's form might have worsened.

Lokomotiv Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Gomel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slonim than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Slonim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Gomel than the current prediction. (-24.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Gomel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Slonim - Lokomotiv Gomel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Lokomotiv Gomel (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Lokomotiv Gomel (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Lokomotiv Gomel (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Gomel (votes: 3 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Agapov A. (G) 14. Berg V. 15. Chizh A. 7. Klunok M. 19. Konev A. 2. Krutorozhkin K. 13. Kudinov E. 10. Mashagin E. 8. Mushulov R. 12. Semin I. 5. Vechorko D.	31. Prishivalko P. (G) 30. Davidovich A. 77. Drozdovich A. 99. Kozlov I. 21. Milevskiy E. 97. Muzychenko Y. 88. Nekrasov N. 15. Petrusevich A. 8. Puzach A. 22. Shevchenko P. 9. Sychev V.
Substitutes
17. Gizhevskiy V. 4. Krutko A. 20. Kutsko D. 3. Para V. 11. Pashkevich M. 6. Petrov E. 18. Tkatsevich M. 16. Turuk A.	93. Isachenko E. (G) 24. Katsynel M. 5. Kovsh K. 55. Lazarchik S. 17. Myzgin V. 2. Nizhnik D. 7. Smaltser A. 14. Stroychuk A. 25. Tikhomirov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Mashagin E. (Pen),
45', 2 - 0, Konev A. ⚽, Berg V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 2 - 1, Nekrasov N. ⚽, Myzgin V. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slonim won 1.

Slonim has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lokomotiv Gomel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Lokomotiv Gomel has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Slonim won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:26. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Slonim won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Slonim
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
05.09.25	Lida - Slonim	4:2 ✺
30.08.25	Slonim - Minsk 2	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Ostrovets - Slonim	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Slonim - Volna Pinsk	1:1 ✺
08.08.25	Gomel 2 - Slonim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLTL
- Lokomotiv Gomel
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
05.09.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Orsha	4:0 ✺
30.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Lida	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Minsk 2 - Lokomotiv Gomel	1:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
19.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Dinamo Minsk	1:2 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
15.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Ostrovets	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
12.10.24	Lokomotiv Gomel - Slonim	1:0
14.06.24	Slonim - Lokomotiv Gomel	1:0
11.11.23	Lokomotiv Gomel - Slonim	1:0
08.07.23	Slonim - Lokomotiv Gomel	1:2
22.05.22	Slonim - Lokomotiv Gomel	0:0
11.09.21	Slonim - Lokomotiv Gomel	2:2
27.06.21	Lokomotiv Gomel - Slonim	4:1

Slonim - Lokomotiv Gomel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide