Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 20

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: Lokomotiv Stadium (Gomel)


	Lokomotiv Gomel		Ostrovets

	1	X	2
	1.69	3.72	4.21
	1.68	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.72)	3.61 ↓ (3.7)	4.21 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Gomel
53.5%

Draw
25%

Ostrovets
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.8%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

24.1%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Ostrovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Gomel than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostrovets than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Lokomotiv Gomel - Ostrovets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Prishivalko P. (G) 24. Katsynel M. 5. Kovsh K. 99. Kozlov I. 21. Milevskiy E. (C) 97. Muzychenko Y. 88. Nekrasov N. 2. Nizhnik D. 15. Petrusevich A. 7. Smaltser A. 9. Sychev V.	99. Yukhnovich V. (G) 17. Azerskiy E. 8. Bakinovskiy A. 11. Bara Y. 22. German D. 21. Isachenko E. 9. Khvostovich D. 4. Shashko E. 33. Sokolovskiy M. 15. Turovets D. 23. Volovik Y. (C)
Substitutes
30. Davidovich A. 77. Drozdovich A. 93. Isachenko E. (G) 10. Krivosheev D. 55. Lazarchik S. 17. Myzgin V. 8. Puzach A. 22. Shevchenko P. 25. Tikhomirov D.	2. Dylevskiy A. 81. Ivan Aheyeu 12. Kachur N. 29. Kalinovskiy M. 44. Kondratovich Z. 14. Kovruk M. (G) 18. Pilipenko M. 10. Semenov E. 19. Shedzko Y. 27. Tolkachev I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Isachenko E. 🟨,
30', Sychev V. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Sychev V. ⚽, Nekrasov N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Katsynel M. ↓, Shevchenko P. ↑,
46', German D. ↓, Ivan Aheyeu ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Kozlov I. ⚽,
56', Khvostovich D. 🟨,
63', Bakinovskiy A. ↓, Semenov E. ↑,
63', Milevskiy E. ↓, Drozdovich A. ↑,
64', Sychev V. ↓, Puzach A. ↑,
71', Khvostovich D. ↓, Pilipenko M. ↑,
74', Nizhnik D. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Tolkachev I. (Pen),
81', Nizhnik D. ↓, Krivosheev D. ↑,
87', Kovsh K. 🟨,
90+2', Nekrasov N. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 10).

Lokomotiv Gomel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ostrovets is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Lokomotiv Gomel has had a series of away games.

Recently, Ostrovets has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lokomotiv Gomel is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Gomel won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Gomel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Gomel
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
10.08.25	Volna Pinsk - Lokomotiv Gomel	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Gomel 2	4:1 ✺
28.06.25	Osipovichi - Lokomotiv Gomel	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Niva Dolbizno - Lokomotiv Gomel	2:4 ✺
15.06.25	BATE 2 - Lokomotiv Gomel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTWL
- FC Ostrovets
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
09.08.25	Ostrovets - Lida	1:3 ✺
03.08.25	Minsk 2 - Ostrovets	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Ostrovets - Orsha	6:2 ✺
Belarusian Cup
12.07.25	Ostrovets - Slutsk	0:3 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
04.07.25	Ostrovets - Gomel 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
12.04.25	Ostrovets - Lokomotiv Gomel	2:0
25.08.24	Lokomotiv Gomel - Ostrovets	4:0
25.11.23	Lokomotiv Gomel - Ostrovets	2:1
05.08.23	Ostrovets - Lokomotiv Gomel	0:2
30.04.22	Lokomotiv Gomel - Ostrovets	3:3

Lokomotiv Gomel - Ostrovets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide