Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 23

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Lokomotiv Stadium (Gomel)


	Lokomotiv Gomel		Orsha

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.74	3.8
	1.71	3.8	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.76)	3.77 ↑ (3.74)	3.73 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Gomel
51.9%

Draw
23.9%

Orsha
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

24.3%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

23.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Orsha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Gomel than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsha than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Prishivalko P. (G) 77. Drozdovich A. 99. Kozlov I. 21. Milevskiy E. (C) 97. Muzychenko Y. 88. Nekrasov N. 15. Petrusevich A. 22. Shevchenko P. 7. Smaltser A. 9. Sychev V. 25. Tikhomirov D.	20. Makarov M. (G) 6. Adamchik T. 21. Bobchenok N. 30. Chakur A. 5. Laval A. 80. Puninskiy V. 10. Rassolko P. (C) 11. Tamelo D. 27. Tsikhanau I. 18. Volchenko N. 8. Zhestaryov M.
Substitutes
30. Davidovich A. 93. Isachenko E. (G) 24. Katsynel M. 5. Kovsh K. 55. Lazarchik S. 17. Myzgin V. 2. Nizhnik D. 8. Puzach A. 14. Stroychuk A.	76. Adygezalzade R. 55. Bashun V. 2. Bazhanov M. 70. Berezun I. 17. Gomonov S. 4. Irshev S. 1. Krauchanka R. (G) 12. Nneji E. 7. Salimov T. 91. Veras I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Tsikhanau I. 🟨,
43', Petrusevich A. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Tikhomirov D. ↓, Davidovich A. ↑,
50', Smaltser A. 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Kozlov I. ⚽, Shevchenko P. (A),
57', Puninskiy V. ↓, Veras I. ↑,
67', Smaltser A. ↓, Puzach A. ↑,
71', Shevchenko P. 🟨,
74', 2 - 0, Sychev V. ⚽, Davidovich A. (A),
75', 🟨,
78', Petrusevich A. ↓, Kovsh K. ↑,
78', Kozlov I. ↓, Myzgin V. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Muzychenko Y. ⚽, Myzgin V. (A),
82', Zhestaryov M. ↓, Adygezalzade R. ↑,
83', 4 - 0, Sychev V. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Gomel won 1.

Lokomotiv Gomel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Orsha has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Orsha has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lokomotiv Gomel is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Gomel won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Gomel won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Gomel
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
30.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Lida	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Minsk 2 - Lokomotiv Gomel	1:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
19.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Dinamo Minsk	1:2 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
15.08.25	Lokomotiv Gomel - Ostrovets	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Volna Pinsk - Lokomotiv Gomel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWT
- FC Orsha
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
30.08.25	Orsha - Osipovichi	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Lida - Orsha	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Orsha - Niva Dolbizno	1:4 ✺
08.08.25	Orsha - Minsk 2	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Orsha - BATE 2	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
04.05.25	Orsha - Lokomotiv Gomel	3:3
05.10.24	Orsha - Lokomotiv Gomel	1:1
09.06.24	Lokomotiv Gomel - Orsha	1:1
26.08.23	Lokomotiv Gomel - Orsha	1:2
23.04.23	Orsha - Lokomotiv Gomel	0:3
14.08.22	Orsha - Lokomotiv Gomel	0:0
10.04.22	Orsha - Lokomotiv Gomel	0:2

Lokomotiv Gomel - Orsha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide