Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 18

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Mestsky stadion Miroslava Valenty (Uherske Hradiste)

Referee: Nehasil L. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo


	Slovácko		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	7.5	4	1.4	Watch
	6.7	4.35	1.43	Watch
	7.74	4.48	1.43
	6.7	4.51	1.44	Watch
	7	4.2	1.4
	7.44	4.25	1.42	Watch
	8	4.33	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.3 ↑ (5.67)	4.3 ↑ (3.78)	1.42 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovácko
12.8%

Draw
21.6%

Viktoria Plzeň
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

24.4%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

23.8%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovácko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viktoria Plzeň's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovácko than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	15.8%	73.7%

Slovácko - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Slovácko will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Plzeň will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plzeň: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Viktoria Plzeň will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Heca M. (G) 5. Vasko F. 4. Stojcevski A. 3. Rundic M. 20. Havlik M. 8. Tetour D. 10. Travnik M. (C) 23. Reinberk P. 11. Petrzela M. 28. Danicek V. 15. Blahut P.	44. Wiegele F. (G) 99. Memic A. 40. Dweh S. 21. Jemelka V. 14. Doski M. 6. Cerv L. 32. Valenta M. 18. Ladra T. 11. Vydra M. (C) 19. Souare C. 17. Durosinmi R.
Substitutes
14. Barat D. 31. Borek J. (G) 13. Ceesay O. 25. Hamza J. 77. Kim Seung-Bin 7. Koscelnik M. 21. Krmencik M. 9. Marinelli A. 18. Mulder J. 2. Ndefe G. 6. Svidersky M.	80. Adu P. 72. Bello J. 2. Hejda L. 23. Jedlicka M. (G) 7. Kabongo C. 3. Markovic S. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 9. Visinsky D. 85. Zeljkovic A.
Coaches
Skuhravy R.	Hysky M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Valenta M. 🟨,
22', Travnik M. 🟨,
31', Rundic M. ↓, Mulder J. ↑,
33', 1 - 0, Petrzela M. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, Blahut P. ⚽, Danicek V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Durosinmi R. ↓, Adu P. ↑,
51', Adu P. 🟨,
54', Reinberk P. 🟨,
59', Reinberk P. ↓, Ndefe G. ↑,
59', Petrzela M. ↓, Barat D. ↑,
66', Valenta M. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
66', Ladra T. ↓, Visinsky D. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Danicek V. ⚽, Ndefe G. (A),
78', Havlik M. ↓, Svidersky M. ↑,
78', Danicek V. ↓, Krmencik M. ↑,
82', Vydra M. ↓, Kabongo C. ↑,
84', Stojcevski A. 🟨,
86', Doski M. 🟨,
90', Visinsky D. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slovácko won 1.

Recent form of Slovácko has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Plzeň's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Slovácko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Plzeň has had a series of home games.

In this match, Plzeň is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Slovácko: Juroska P. (Injury)

There will not play in Plzeň: Kopic J. (Knee Injury) Paluska J. (Surgery) Panos J. (Convalescence)

There are questionable in Slovácko: Medved Z. (Injury)

There are questionable in Plzeň: Kabongo C. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slovácko won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:32. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Slovácko won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Slovácko
Czech 1 Liga
29.11.25	Slavia Prague - Slovácko	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Slovácko - Zlín	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Hradec Králové - Slovácko	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Slovácko - Slovan Liberec	0:3 ✺
Czech Cup
28.10.25	Karviná - Slovácko	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL
- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
30.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Mladá Boleslav	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
23.11.25	Jablonec - Viktoria Plzeň	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Slavia Prague	3:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Fenerbahçe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
09.08.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Slovácko	1:1
06.04.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Slovácko	2:0
03.11.24	Slovácko - Viktoria Plzeň	1:0
11.05.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Slovácko	4:2
21.04.24	Slovácko - Viktoria Plzeň	1:1
12.11.23	Viktoria Plzeň - Slovácko	1:4
06.05.23	Viktoria Plzeň - Slovácko	2:2

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