Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Berka O. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Germany	15:00	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Slovakia	15:00	Voyo
International	13:00	OneFootball TV


	Viktoria Plzeň		Mladá Boleslav

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.00	5.00	Watch
	1.60	4.33	4.60
	1.58	4.20	4.90
	1.62	4.42	5.22
	1.5	4.7	5.4	Watch
	1.60	4.10	5.15
	1.62	4.16	5.20	Watch
	1.59	4.30	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.5)	4.28 ↓ (4.56)	5.01 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
59.3%

Draw
21.9%

Mladá Boleslav
18.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.8%

20.4%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

19.5%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Mladá Boleslav aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Viktoria Plzeň - Mladá Boleslav Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Viktoria Plzeň will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tapaj D. (G) 29. Gabriel A. 40. Dweh S. 98. Prebsl F. 2. Paliscak T. 36. Pirgic S. 17. Hrosovsky P. (C) 99. Memic A. 20. Panos J. 12. Sojka A. 25. Kabongo C.	59. Floder J. (G) 32. Matousek F. 44. Karafiat O. 3. Kralik M. (C) 11. Hybs M. 19. Kozel D. 76. Zika J. 20. John S. 28. Langhamer D. 21. Subert M. 23. Klima J.
Substitutes
80. Adu P. 30. Baier V. (G) 6. Cerv L. 23. Faal B. 18. Ladra T. 7. Lawal S. 19. Souare C. 5. Spacil K. 3. Vavro D. 9. Visinsky D.	70. Buryan J. 13. Donat D. 14. Grygar S. 5. Harustak J. 18. Havran M. 49. Kolarik J. 9. Letenay L. 17. Spatenka F. 42. Vorel V. (G) 26. Zachoval M.
Coaches
Kovac R.	Majer A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Kabongo C. ⚽, Gabriel A. (A),
13', Paliscak T. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Pirgic S. ⚽, Hrosovsky P. (A),
23', Gabriel A. 🟨,
32', John S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Paliscak T. ↓, Souare C. ↑,
52', Sojka A. 🟨,
60', Klima J. ↓, Buryan J. ↑,
60', John S. ↓, Kolarik J. ↑,
65', Panos J. ↓, Ladra T. ↑,
65', Kabongo C. ↓, Faal B. ↑,
70', Subert M. 🟨,
71', Matousek F. ↓, Zachoval M. ↑,
71', Subert M. ↓, Havran M. ↑,
71', Memic A. ↓, Visinsky D. ↑,
78', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Cerv L. ↑,
80', Langhamer D. ↓, Spatenka F. ↑,
83', Faal B. 🟨,
86', 3 - 0, Faal B. ⚽, Gabriel A. (A),

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th in the Promotion - Chance Liga (7th - 10th places: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plzeň won 4.

Plzeň is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Mladá Boleslav shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Mladá Boleslav may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Plzeň carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Plzeň: Jemelka V. (Knee Injury) Paluska J. (Surgery) Vydra M. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Mladá Boleslav: Hora V. (Injury) Kadlec A. (Injury) Lehky F. (Injury) Mares D. (Injury) Ogungbayi B. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Plzeň: Cerv L. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Plzeň has recorded 12 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 46:18 (averaging 2.3:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Plzeň against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 30:10 goals (averaging 2.7:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mlada Boleslav	12	6	3	3	19:14	5	21
9	Plzen	12	4	4	4	24:21	3	16

Outrights of Czech 1 Liga for now

Plzen: 1.79% Mlada Boleslav: 1.59%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
20.09.26	Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzeň	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Saint-Gilloise	0:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
13.09.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Sigma Olomouc	2:3 ✺
09.09.26	Hradec Králové - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Artis Brno - Viktoria Plzeň	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTW
- FK Mladá Boleslav
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Mladá Boleslav - Příbram	3:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
19.09.26	Mladá Boleslav - Zbrojovka Brno	2:0 ✺
Czech Cup
15.09.26	Fotbal Třinec - Mladá Boleslav	0:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
12.09.26	Slovan Liberec - Mladá Boleslav	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Mladá Boleslav - Baník Ostrava	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
30.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Mladá Boleslav	2:1
19.08.25	Mladá Boleslav - Viktoria Plzeň	0:5
02.03.25	Mladá Boleslav - Viktoria Plzeň	0:2
29.09.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Mladá Boleslav	1:1
05.05.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Mladá Boleslav	3:0
10.02.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Mladá Boleslav	1:1
06.12.23	Mladá Boleslav - Viktoria Plzeň	1:3

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