The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Slovan Liberec 26.3%
Draw 27.4%
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 46.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
27.2%
40.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.9%
18.9%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slovan Liberec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Slovan Liberec's form might have worsened.
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Liberec than the current prediction. (+20.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Slovan Liberec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-18.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
54 users predict this event. Slovan Liberec will win (votes: 12 - 22.2%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 33 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 48.1% – 74.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
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Slovan Liberec has not chance of round of 32, has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league.
Crvena Zvezda was already of round of 32, has a chance of round of 16 (24%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Slovan Liberec is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Crvena Zvezda in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Slovan Liberec could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Crvena Zvezda will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Slovan Liberec won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.