Match Info

Date: 3 December 2020, Thursday


	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.7	2.15
	3.25	3.6	2.15
	3.1	3.7	2.2
	3.15	3.55	2.12
	3.27	3.75	2.17
	3.1	3.6	2.2
	3.25	3.84	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.87)	3.68 ↑ (3.61)	2.17 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
30.1%

Draw
25.9%

Hoffenheim
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

26.3%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

18.5%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.6%	30.2%	49.2%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Hoffenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 13 - 20.6%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 31 - 49.2%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 30.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 36.9% – 61.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Crvena Zvezda has a very good chance of round of 32 (>99%), has a chance of round of 16 (24%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hoffenheim was already of round of 32, has a good chance of round of 16 (55%), has a chance of qtrs (25%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Crvena Zvezda in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Hoffenheim is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hoffenheim will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Crvena Zvezda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
29.11.20	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Rad	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	Gent - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
22.11.20	Vojvodina - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:2 ✺
Serbian Cup
16.11.20	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Zlatibor Čajetina	4:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
08.11.20	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Inđija	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
29.11.20	Mainz - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.11.20	Slovan Liberec - Hoffenheim	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.11.20	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
08.11.20	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.11.20	Hoffenheim - Slovan Liberec	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Hoffenheim - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:0

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