The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gent 39.4%
Draw 27.7%
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 32.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
26.2%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
18%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gent that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crvena Zvezda Belgrade could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
56.8%
18.9%
24.3%
Gent - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions
Users Predictions:
74 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 42 - 56.8%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 18 - 24.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 18.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 45.5% โ 68.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Limited number of spectators.
Gent has a very small chance of round of 32 (4%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Crvena Zvezda has a good chance of round of 32 (88%), has a chance of round of 16 (22%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Gent is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Crvena Zvezda is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Crvena Zvezda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Gent won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
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