Match Info

3. Liga - East - Round 24

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Slovan Sabinov		Kežmarok

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.35
	2.38	3.5	2.45
	2.33	3.6	2.39
	2.40	3.72	2.45	Watch
	3	3.4	1.95
	2.38	3.56	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.78)	3.53 ↑ (3.4)	2.34 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovan Sabinov
36%

Draw
25.5%

Kežmarok
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

26%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

25.2%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovan Sabinov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Kežmarok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Sabinov than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slovan Sabinov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kežmarok than the current prediction. (+5%)

Slovan Sabinov - Kežmarok Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8).

Recent form of Slovan Sabinov has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kežmarok has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Slovan Sabinov won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Slovan Sabinov won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Sabinov	9	1	3	5	3:13	-10	6
14	Kezmarok	9	0	1	8	4:23	-19	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slovan Sabinov
Slovak 3 Liga East
09.05.26	Spartak Medzev - Slovan Sabinov	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Slovan Sabinov - Košice B	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Spišské Podhradie - Slovan Sabinov	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Slovan Sabinov - Lokomotíva Košice	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Slovan Sabinov - Poprad	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLL
- 1. MFK Kežmarok
Slovak 3 Liga East
09.05.26	Kežmarok - Raslavice	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Kežmarok - Spartak Medzev	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Košice B - Kežmarok	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Kežmarok - Spišské Podhradie	6:2 ✺
11.04.26	Lokomotíva Košice - Kežmarok	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 4 Liga East
15.09.24	Slovan Sabinov - Kežmarok	2:2
20.04.24	Kežmarok - Slovan Sabinov	0:2
03.09.23	Slovan Sabinov - Kežmarok	2:1

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