Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 23

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadyen Haradski (Slutsk)

Referee: Shimusik V. (Blr)


	Slutsk		Vitebsk

	1	X	2
	3	3.15	2.42
	3.05	3.15	2.46	Watch
	4.59	3.35	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (8.1)	3.22 ↓ (4.4)	2.22 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slutsk
27%

Draw
29.8%

Vitebsk
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

21.6%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.1%

20.4%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slutsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Slutsk's performance.

Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitebsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slutsk than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slutsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (+27.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitebsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Slutsk - Vitebsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Branovets I. (G) 7. Khralenkov E. 3. Dubatovka M. 6. Tolkin A. 20. Martyanov G. 9. Grishchenko I. 8. Bougnone A. 27. Kurlovich V. (C) 80. Sokolovskiy A. 11. Khrisanfov N. 45. Dragutinovic N.	1. Gushchenko D. (G) 27. Novykh E. 23. Naumov N. (C) 26. Tikhonovskiy S. 55. Girs D. 3. Zhumaev V. 20. Krasnov E. 80. Ksenofontov A. 14. Chervyakov Z. 4. Gorbachik V. 18. Skibskiy Y.
Substitutes
17. Anufriev A. 44. Burak N. 55. Bylinkin N. 97. Chernyavskiy V. 71. Kren A. 25. Kulchitskiy V. 15. Rum A. 1. Sushchyi M. (G) 23. Yarotskiy Y. 10. Zhumabekov M.	22. Egorov S. 53. Kuntsevich M. 7. Lisovskiy R. 5. Magloire E. 60. Novichkov I. (G) 88. Pesnyak D. 37. Radikovskiy D. 28. Yankovskiy K.
Coaches
Gurinovich A.	Razumov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Chervyakov Z. ⚽, Girs D. (A),
45+1', Tolkin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Kurlovich V. ↓, Burak N. ↑,
66', Khralenkov E. ↓, Rum A. ↑,
66', Ksenofontov A. ↓, Radikovskiy D. ↑,
66', Gorbachik V. ↓, Lisovskiy R. ↑,
66', Dragutinovic N. ↓, Zhumabekov M. ↑,
68', Radikovskiy D. 🟨,
68', Dubatovka M. 🟨,
74', Sokolovskiy A. ↓, Anufriev A. ↑,
82', Grishchenko I. 🟨,
82', Tikhonovskiy S. ↓, Egorov S. ↑,
86', Khrisanfov N. ↓, Kren A. ↑,
86', Lisovskiy R. 🟨,
90+2', Chervyakov Z. ↓, Kuntsevich M. ↑,
90+5', Gushchenko D. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slutsk won 1.

Slutsk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vitebsk is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Slutsk has had a series of away games.

Vitebsk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slutsk won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Slutsk won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Slutsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
21.09.25	Minsk - Slutsk	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Slutsk - BATE Borisov	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Slavia Mozyr - Slutsk	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Slutsk	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Smorgon - Slutsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLTT
- FC Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
20.09.25	Vitebsk - Dinamo Minsk	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Gomel - Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Vitebsk - Molodechno	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Isloch Minsk - Vitebsk	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Naftan - Vitebsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
11.05.25	Vitebsk - Slutsk	4:1
Belarusian Cup
02.03.25	Vitebsk - Slutsk	2:0
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.08.24	Slutsk - Vitebsk	2:0
12.04.24	Vitebsk - Slutsk	2:0
Belarusian Cup
30.07.23	Vitebsk - Slutsk	1:0
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.10.22	Vitebsk - Slutsk	0:1
25.06.22	Slutsk - Vitebsk	0:2

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