The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Smorgon 21.9%
Draw 18.4%
Slutsk 59.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.8%
19.2%
66%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.5%
18.8%
67.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Smorgon's performance.
Slutsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slutsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Smorgon that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slutsk than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slutsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Smorgon - Slutsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Azarko M. (G) 3. Autko M. 77. Bogdanovich I. 17. Dukso M. (C) 30. Fartuna B. 78. Kovalevich V. 99. Malashenko G. 52. Mychelkin E. 7. Nsangou J. 33. Poznyak A. 27. Tishko A.
30. Branovets I. (G) 5. Chuduk A. 11. Fedosov V. 77. Kontsedailov A. 23. Kotlyarov P. 27. Kurlovich V. 97. Papava V. 15. Rum A. (C) 16. Semenov A. 21. Sidor I. 6. Tolkin A.
Substitutes
22. Galko V. 18. Gribovskiy R. 2. Intsoen C. 59. Kabachevskiy V. 47. Kukhley R. 16. Perov D. (G) 11. Sivkov I. 23. Stankevich A. 19. Velesyuk A. (G) 25. Yarotskiy Y.
8. Blotskiy A. 19. Bylinkin N. 45. Chebotar V. 25. Kulchitskiy V. 80. Litskevich M. 17. Nekrashevich D. 35. Robak N. (G) 9. Sychev V. 3. Tseluyko V. 10. Tseslyukevich P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Autko M. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Nsangou J. ⚽, Kovalevich V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Tishko A. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Kotlyarov P. ⚽, Sychev V. (A),
82', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1.
Smorgon is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Slutsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Slutsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Slutsk is considered a favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
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Azarko M. (G) 
Fartuna B. 
Nsangou J. 
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