Match Info

SERBIA: Serbian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadion FK Smederevo (Smederevo)


	Smederevo		Novi Pazar

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.93
	3.65	3.2	1.96
	3.65	3.09	1.91
	3.78	3.23	1.94	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2
	3.71	3.24	1.92
	3.55	3.15	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.03)	3.16 ↑ (3.14)	1.95 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smederevo
25%

Draw
28.6%

Novi Pazar
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

29.1%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.6%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smederevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Smederevo's form might have worsened.

Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novi Pazar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smederevo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Smederevo - Novi Pazar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Opara E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
75', 0 - 2, ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Smederevo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Novi Pazar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novi Pazar will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Smederevo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Smederevo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Smederevo
Serbian Prva Liga
26.10.24	Trayal Kruševac - Smederevo	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Smederevo - Sloboda Užice	2:0 ✺
15.10.24	Mladost Novi Sad - Smederevo	1:0 ✺
07.10.24	Smederevo - Inđija	0:0 ✺
02.10.24	Javor Ivanjica - Smederevo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLTL
- FK Novi Pazar
Serbian Superliga
26.10.24	Železničar Pančevo - Novi Pazar	0:1 ✺
21.10.24	Novi Pazar - Partizan	3:4 ✺
06.10.24	Napredak Kruševac - Novi Pazar	2:1 ✺
02.10.24	Vojvodina - Novi Pazar	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Novi Pazar - Radnički 1923	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
07.12.19	Novi Pazar - Smederevo	3:1
08.09.19	Smederevo - Novi Pazar	1:0
Serbian Superliga
17.03.13	Novi Pazar - Smederevo	2:1
01.09.12	Smederevo - Novi Pazar	0:0

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