Match Info

LATVIA: 1. Liga - Round 6

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Smiltene		Valmiera 2

	1	X	2
	9	5	1.25	Watch
	5.94	4.34	1.49
	9	5	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.98 ↑ (5.81)	4.78 ↑ (4.28)	1.33 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Smiltene
11.5%

Draw
19.3%

Valmiera 2
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

21.6%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

21%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smiltene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Valmiera 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valmiera 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smiltene than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera 2 than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Sausais D. (G) 19. Berzins A. 10. Bokta M. 17. Grosbergs K. 2. Klots R. 8. Libietis K. P. 3. Mikelsons M. 6. Ovsjannikovs K. 32. Sislakovs R. 7. Teremko E. (C) 9. Zvirbulis K.	1. Minuss R. (G) 24. Buss R. 20. Cepelevs D. 4. Cepelevs N. 3. Kalnins E. 10. Mylchenko A. 17. Omori Y. 22. Owusu R. 9. Pulis I. (C) 37. Tiago Mumu 11. Zauska R. K.
Substitutes
4. Bleikss R. 99. Eglitis E. (G) 18. Fjodorovs I. 16. Gaismins V. 14. Jansons E. 23. Lacis E. 13. Rozgalis K. 15. Snepsts K. 5. Spalvins M.	27. Bekeris H. 21. Freilihs R. 26. Kalnins H. 33. Lucas Aruba 34. Maurs-Boks E. 28. Pulis I. 18. Rusmanis M. 23. Tkacenko A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
35', 0 - 1, Pulis I. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Omori Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Sislakovs R. ↓, Bleikss R. ↑,
47', Cepelevs D. ↓, Lucas Aruba ↑,
50', 0 - 3, Lucas Aruba ⚽,
52', Libietis K. P. ↓, Gaismins V. ↑,
63', Buss R. ↓, Rusmanis M. ↑,
67', Bokta M. ↓, Rozgalis K. ↑,
69', 1 - 3, Grosbergs K. ⚽,
70', Rusmanis M. 🟨,
72', Ovsjannikovs K. 🟨,
73', Teremko E. ↓, Jansons E. ↑,
74', Grosbergs K. ↓, Spalvins M. ↑,
75', Zvirbulis K. 🟨,
76', Kalnins E. ↓, Maurs-Boks E. ↑,
81', Gaismins V. 🟨,
81', Klots R. 🟨,
82', Omori Y. 🟨,
82', Tiago Mumu 🟨,
82', 🟨,
88', Omori Y. ↓, Bekeris H. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, Jansons E. ⚽,
90+3', Pulis I. ↓,
90+4', 2 - 4, ⚽,
90+4', Klots R. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Smiltene has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Valmiera 2 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Smiltene could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Valmiera 2 is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Valmiera 2 to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Smiltene won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Smiltene won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Smiltene BJSS
Latvian 1 Liga
05.05.24	JFK Ventspils - Smiltene	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Smiltene - Tukums 2000 2	0:2 ✺
21.04.24	Rīgas FS 2 - Smiltene	7:0 ✺
13.04.24	Smiltene - Leevon PPK	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	JDFS Alberts - Smiltene	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Valmiera FK 2
Latvian 1 Liga
04.05.24	Valmiera 2 - Olaine	3:2 ✺
26.04.24	Rēzekne - Valmiera 2	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	JFK Ventspils - Valmiera 2	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Valmiera 2 - Tukums 2000 2	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Valmiera 2 - Rīgas FS 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
04.11.23	Smiltene - Valmiera 2	2:2
23.07.23	Valmiera 2 - Smiltene	0:0
10.09.22	Valmiera 2 - Smiltene	5:0
08.05.22	Smiltene - Valmiera 2	2:3

Smiltene - Valmiera 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide