Match Info

1. Liga - Round 22

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Latvia	14:00	Futbols TV


	Smiltene		Tukums 2000 2

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.70	3.20
	1.82	3.70	3.30
	1.73	3.97	3.55
	1.9	3.96	3.18	Watch
	1.71	3.90	3.50
	1.90	4.00	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.05)	3.87 ↑ (3.75)	3.34 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smiltene
49.6%

Draw
23.3%

Tukums 2000 2
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44%

24%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smiltene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Smiltene's performance.

Tukums 2000 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Smiltene - Tukums 2000 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Radzenieks D. ⚽, Kaira D. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Gaismins V. ⚽, Attia B. (A),
37', 2 - 1, Ngai Eba E. ⚽, Gaismins V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 2 - 2, Sprukts E. ⚽, Kaira D. (A),
90+1', 3 - 2, Jansons E. ⚽,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 11th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smiltene won 2.

Performances by Tukums 2000 2 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Smiltene is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Smiltene has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:14 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Smiltene against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 1:8 goals (averaging 0.3:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	FK Smiltene	24	6	5	13	37:62	-25	23
11	Tukums 2000 2	24	5	4	15	31:68	-37	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Smiltene BJSS
Latvian 1 Liga
19.09.26	Super Nova 2 - Smiltene	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Smiltene - Riga Mariners	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	JDFS Alberts - Smiltene	3:2 ✺
02.08.26	JFK Ventspils - Smiltene	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Smiltene - Rīgas FS 2	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.1 WWLWL
- Tukums 2000 2
Latvian 1 Liga
26.09.26	Tukums 2000 2 - JFK Ventspils	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Rēzekne	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Mārupe - Tukums 2000 2	5:0 ✺
06.09.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Leevon PPK	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Skanstes - Tukums 2000 2	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
24.05.26	Tukums 2000 2 - Smiltene	1:1
05.10.25	Smiltene - Tukums 2000 2	0:3
24.05.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Smiltene	1:2
25.08.24	Tukums 2000 2 - Smiltene	1:2
28.04.24	Smiltene - Tukums 2000 2	0:2
16.09.23	Smiltene - Tukums 2000 2	0:3
14.05.23	Tukums 2000 2 - Smiltene	2:1

Smiltene - Tukums 2000 2