The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Smiltene 19.2%
Draw 25%
Tukums 2000 2 55.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
20.7%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.4%
15.9%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smiltene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-41.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Smiltene's form might have worsened.
Tukums 2000 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+36.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tukums 2000 2's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smiltene than the current prediction. (+27.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Smiltene, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 2 than the current prediction. (-31.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tukums 2000 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Smiltene - Tukums 2000 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
95. Sausais D. (C) 4. Bleikss R. 10. Bokta M. 21. Cipruss S. 16. Gaismins V. 7. Lapins J. 3. Mikelsons M. 15. Sislakovs R. 77. Snepsts K. 88. Stipnieks E. 9. Zvirbulis K.
12. Keziks K. (G) 20. Dzeguze R. 25. Joksts H. 36. Kere M. 15. Kirss R. 14. Putrans D. 3. Semesko M. 33. Toba J. 32. Uzis K. (C) 21. Valmiers D. 6. Volkovs K.
Substitutes
99. Eglitis E. (G) 17. Grosbergs K. 2. Klots R. 19. Krasts R. 6. Rubnikovics T. 5. Spalvins M. 40. Stupelis O. 11. Tomass E. 22. Zauska R.
60. Kadikovs B. 2. Kholod A. 31. Maulins A. 77. Minajevs K. (G) 49. Vaza V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Joksts H. (Pen),
29', Stipnieks E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Snepsts K. ↓, Zauska R. ↑,
48', Bokta M. ↓, Stupelis O. ↑,
48', Kirss R. ↓, Kholod A. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Volkovs K. ⚽,
67', Gaismins V. ↓, Tomass E. ↑,
67', Lapins J. ↓, Grosbergs K. ↑,
67', Mikelsons M. ↓, Krasts R. ↑,
74', Kere M. ↓, Kadikovs B. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, Dzeguze R. ⚽,
84', Putrans D. ↓, Vaza V. ↑,
87', Dzeguze R. ↓, Maulins A. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 12 in the zone Nakotnes liga (Relegation))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smiltene won 2.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Tukums 2000 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Smiltene has had a series of away games.
In this match, Smiltene is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Smiltene won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Smiltene won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
Watch
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Sausais D. (C) 
Toba J. 
Kholod A. 
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