Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Volga Tver		Luki-Energiya

	1	X	2
	2.58	4.19	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.45)	4.19 ↓ (4.2)	2.2 (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Tver
35.9%

Draw
22.1%

Luki-Energiya
42.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.1%

21.6%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

20.7%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Tver has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Luki-Energiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Tver than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luki-Energiya than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Volga Tver - Luki Energiya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Thormashev S. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, Stepanov A. ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 6th and 3rd).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Volga Tver won 2.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Luki-Energiya may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Volga Tver has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:12 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Volga Tver against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:5 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Luki-Energiya	27	14	7	6	39:26	13	49
7	Tver	28	12	5	11	45:39	6	41

Last Results with these Odds

Volga Tver - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.08%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Tver
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
02.10.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Volga Tver	1:8 ✺
27.09.26	Volga Tver - Torpedo Vladimir	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Volga Tver - Dynamo Vologda	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Baltika 2 - Volga Tver	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Volga Tver - Yenisey 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWTT
- Luki-Energiya Velikiye Luki
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
04.10.26	Luki-Energiya - Iskra Smolensk	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Murom - Luki-Energiya	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
10.09.26	Luki-Energiya - Ural	2:1 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
06.09.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Luki-Energiya	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
27.08.26	Luki-Energiya - Cherepovets	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
21.06.26	Luki-Energiya - Volga Tver	2:1
02.08.25	Volga Tver - Luki-Energiya	1:0
12.04.25	Luki-Energiya - Volga Tver	2:1
01.09.24	Volga Tver - Luki-Energiya	1:2
20.05.24	Luki-Energiya - Volga Tver	0:1
30.10.23	Volga Tver - Luki-Energiya	1:3
Russian Cup
23.08.23	Luki-Energiya - Volga Tver	3:0

Volga Tver - Luki-Energiya