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Current Win Probability
Zvezda St. Petersburg 34.2%
Draw 28.8%
Volga Tver 37.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.7%
26.7%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
27.8%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zvezda St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Volga Tver has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Tver than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Zvezda St. Petersburg - Volga Tver Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 4)
7', 0 - 1, Kopylov R. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Zaytsev R. ⚽,
29', 1 - 2, Kopylov R. ⚽,
31', 1 - 3, Pugachevskiy I. ⚽,
38', 1 - 4, Kopylov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
52', 1 - 5, Abdulkin N. ⚽,
71', 1 - 6, Ponomarev E. ⚽,
84', 1 - 7, Khomyakov A. ⚽,
89', 1 - 8, Kopylov R. ⚽,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 13th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda SP won 1.
Zvezda SP is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Volga Tver has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Volga Tver could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Zvezda SP has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Zvezda SP has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:14 (averaging 0.8:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zvezda SP against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 6:10 goals (averaging 1:1.7 per game).
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