Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 11

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)


	Smorgon		Minsk 2

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.55	6.74	Watch
	2.28	3.8	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.28)	3.68 ↓ (3.8)	4.63 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
52.1%

Draw
26.7%

Minsk 2
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

24%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

23.4%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Smorgon's performance.

Minsk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minsk 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Smorgon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minsk 2 than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minsk 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Smorgon - Minsk 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Smorgon will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Azarko M. (G) 3. Autko M. 77. Bogdanovich I. 17. Dukso M. (C) 5. Elagin K. 33. Fazylov A. 78. Kovalevich V. 52. Mychelkin E. 7. Nsangou J. 23. Stankevich A. 27. Tishko A.	1. Eshchenko S. (G) 7. Bulatskiy G. 10. Drachev Z. (C) 6. Egorov E. 17. Kindruk E. 8. Matusevich S. 4. Sheremet P. 2. Sitnikov R. 18. Tumanov A. 11. Volchok I. 5. Zholudov V.
Substitutes
59. Devyaten A. 22. Galko V. 10. Gorbach P. 25. Kovalev D. 11. Sivkov I. 20. Snetkov A. 99. Starovoytov A. 19. Velesyuk A. (G)	9. Bondarenko I. 20. Bulyga N. 13. Denisenko D. 16. Gerashchenko M. (G) 21. Kazakov A. 3. Malitskiy K. 12. Malyutin V. 22. Porshnev I. 19. Safi R. 15. Vasilevskiy N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Kovalevich V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', 🟨,
64', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Smorgon	27	9	6	12	33:36	-3	33
13	Minsk 2	27	9	3	15	37:50	-13	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.06.26	Osipovichi - Smorgon	0:5 ✺
31.05.26	Smorgon - Lida	4:4 ✺
Belarusian Cup
27.05.26	Vertikal Kalinkovichi - Smorgon	0:7 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.05.26	Niva Dolbizno - Smorgon	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Smorgon - SKA-1938	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWLL
- FC Minsk 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.06.26	Minsk 2 - BumProm Gomel	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Minsk 2 - Soligorsk	2:3 ✺
22.05.26	Osipovichi - Minsk 2	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Minsk 2 - Lida	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Niva Dolbizno - Minsk 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLWWL

Smorgon - Minsk 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide