Match Info

Premier League - Championship Group - Round 4

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Suez Stadium (Suez)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Smouha		Al Masry

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.37
	3.55	2.92	2.15
	3.82	3.04	2.28
	3.53	2.88	2.27	Watch
	3.6	2.88	2.15
	3.78	2.94	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.99)	2.91 ↑ (2.74)	2.23 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smouha
26.3%

Draw
31.9%

Al Masry
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

33.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

33.2%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Al Masry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Masry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Masry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Smouha - Al Masry Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Al Masry will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Mayhoub A. (G) 11. Reda S. (C) 24. Ragab M. 21. Mostafa M. 6. Amer A. 15. Samadou A. 10. El Ghandour K. 23. Amadi S. 19. Fathi E. 8. Fekri S. 14. Juhayna	16. Hamdy M. (G) 18. Sawafta A. 2. El Mohamady B. 5. Sobhi K. 13. El Saadawy A. 6. Makhlouf M. 14. Hamada M. 15. Mahmoud A. 25. Temine M. 30. Deghmoum A. (C) 10. Bambo K.
Substitutes
77. Amer H. 99. Amin A. 9. Ashraf H. 20. Badji P. 35. Fawzi A. 30. Hassan A. 66. Mohamed K. 38. Saeed H. 1. Soliman E. (G)	8. Ali H. 20. Eduwo K. 23. El Aash M. 17. El Gohary Y. 33. El Saaiy O. 22. Gaber M. 29. Hashem M. 1. Tharwat E. (G) 27. Zemraoui O.
Coaches
Abdelaziz A.	El-Nahhas E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Temine M. ⚽, El Saadawy A. (A),
26', El Saadawy A. 🟨,
33', Samadou A. 🟨,
38', Juhayna 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Juhayna ↓, Ashraf H. ↑,
46', Fathi E. ↓, Badji P. ↑,
51', Bambo K. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Sawafta A. 🟨,
64', Sobhi K. ↓, El Aash M. ↑,
64', Sawafta A. ↓, Zemraoui O. ↑,
64', Bambo K. ↓, Hashem M. ↑,
65', Deghmoum A. 🟨,
72', Mahmoud A. ↓, Gaber M. ↑,
75', Fekri S. ↓, Mohamed K. ↑,
80', Mohamed K. 🟨,
85', Deghmoum A. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
90+1', Samadou A. ↓, Fawzi A. ↑,
90+1', Ragab M. ↓, Saeed H. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Smouha won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Al Masry	5	2	0	3	5:7	-2	6
16	Smouha	5	1	1	3	1:4	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Smouha - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.76%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Smouha SC
Egyptian Premier League
22.04.26	Smouha - Ceramica Cleopatra	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Smouha - ENPPI	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Smouha - Modern Sport	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	National Bank of Egypt - Smouha	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLLWW
- Al Masry Club
Egyptian Premier League
22.04.26	Al Masry - ENPPI	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Pyramids - Al Masry	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Al Masry - Zamalek	1:4 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
30.03.26	Al Masry - El Gouna	2:2 ✺
26.03.26	El Gouna - Al Masry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian League Cup
05.01.26	Al Masry - Smouha	2:0
Egyptian Premier League
22.10.25	Al Masry - Smouha	0:0
27.02.25	Smouha - Al Masry	0:3
01.08.24	Smouha - Al Masry	1:0
05.03.24	Al Masry - Smouha	2:0
15.07.23	Al Masry - Smouha	0:1
07.02.23	Smouha - Al Masry	1:1

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