The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Gouna 21.1%
Draw 32.2%
Al Masry 46.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
30.2%
35.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
28.8%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Gouna's form might have worsened.
Al Masry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Masry's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Gouna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Masry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
El Gouna - Al Masry Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al Masry will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Al Masry: 45% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Al Masry (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Masry (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Shahin H. (G) 20. Belia A. 22. El Nahas M. 25. El Said A. 5. El Shimi S. 6. Ibrahim H. 28. Metawea M. 7. Refaat A. 8. Salah R. 11. Shika S. 37. Wael H.
1. Tharwat E. (G) 30. Deghmoum A. 23. El Aash M. 13. El Saadawy A. 14. Hamada M. 29. Hashem M. 6. Makhlouf M. 3. Mansour A. 9. Mohsen S. 18. Sawafta A. 25. Temine M.
Substitutes
4. Abdel Rasoul Ahmed 26. Askar Z. (G) 13. El Gazar O. 14. El Sayed N. 24. El Zahdi A. 30. Emad M. 17. Gamal A. 39. Khaled A. 10. Mahmoud M.
10. Bambo K. 15. El Armouty A. 7. El Eraki K. 17. El Gohary Y. 11. El Shami M. 22. Gaber M. 31. Shehata M. (G) 24. Zeidan M. 27. Zemraoui O.
Coaches
Bebo A.
Kouki N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Temine M. ⚽, Mansour A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Refaat A. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
63', Shika S. ↓, El Zahdi A. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Mohsen S. ⚽,
68', Mohsen S. ↓, Gaber M. ↑,
68', Deghmoum A. ↓, Zemraoui O. ↑,
76', Mansour A. ↓, El Eraki K. ↑,
80', Ibrahim H. ↓, El Gazar O. ↑,
80', Salah R. ↓, El Sayed N. ↑,
87', El Said A. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
90+2', Makhlouf M. ↓, Zeidan M. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 1.
El Gouna is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Al Masry has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
El Gouna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Al Masry might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, El Gouna won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Al Masry - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.22%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
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Shahin H. (G) 
Ibrahim H. 
Deghmoum A. 
Sawafta A. 
Zemraoui O. 
Kouki N. 
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