Match Info

Premier League - Championship Group - Round 6

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Borg El Arab Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Smouha		Zamalek

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.8	3.2	1.66
	5.7	3.25	1.65	Watch
	6.3	3.42	1.7
	6.15	3.01	1.74	Watch
	5.5	3.1	1.7
	5.6	3.18	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.68 ↑ (5.27)	3.19 ↑ (3.04)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smouha
16.3%

Draw
28.9%

Zamalek
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

30.2%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

29.4%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Zamalek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	13.3%	80%

Smouha - Zamalek Predictions

Users Predictions: Zamalek will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zamalek will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Mayhoub A. (G) 2. Hafez H. 21. Mostafa M. 4. Gomaa M. 6. Amer A. (C) 35. Fawzi A. 7. El Sisi A. 23. Amadi S. 10. El Ghandour K. 8. Fekri S. 9. Ashraf H.	37. Soliman E. M. (G) 52. Hassan M. I. 24. Ismail M. 5. Abdelmaguid H. 13. Fatouh A. (C) 17. Shehata M. 18. Kaied A. 98. Dabbagh O. 19. El Said A. 3. Bentayg M. 9. Mansy N.
Substitutes
12. Afifi Y. 99. Amin A. 30. Hassan A. 14. Juhayna 22. Khaled A. 66. Mohamed K. 24. Ragab M. 1. Soliman E. (G) 33. Yehia A.	1. Awad M. (G) 81. Banza C. 39. El Sayed M. 28. El Wensh Mahmoud 11. Esho 33. Juan Alvina 43. Osama E. 12. Rabie A. 31. Sherif A.
Coaches
Abdelaziz A.	Gamal M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fatouh A. ↓, Banza C. ↑,
46', Hassan M. I. ↓, El Wensh Mahmoud ↑,
46', Mansy N. ↓, Juan Alvina ↑,
47', Amer A. 🟨,
51', Shehata M. 🟨,
53', Gamal M. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Dabbagh O. ⚽, Juan Alvina (A),
64', Fawzi A. ↓, Yehia A. ↑,
64', Ashraf H. ↓, Mohamed K. ↑,
68', Juan Alvina ↓, El Sayed M. ↑,
82', El Sisi A. ↓, Afifi Y. ↑,
82', Amadi S. ↓, Amin A. ↑,
82', Fekri S. ↓, Juhayna ↑,
84', Kaied A. ↓, Rabie A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 1.

Smouha has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zamalek's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zamalek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Zamalek is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 15:34. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Smouha won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Zamalek	5	4	1	0	8:1	7	13
16	Smouha	5	1	1	3	1:4	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Smouha SC
Egyptian Premier League
27.04.26	Smouha - Al Masry	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Smouha - Ceramica Cleopatra	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Smouha - ENPPI	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Smouha - Modern Sport	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- Zamalek
Egyptian Premier League
01.05.26	Zamalek - Al Ahly Cairo	0:3 ✺
27.04.26	Zamalek - ENPPI	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Zamalek - Pyramids	1:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
17.04.26	Zamalek - Belouizdad	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Belouizdad - Zamalek	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
11.02.26	Zamalek - Smouha	1:0
Egyptian League Cup
25.12.25	Zamalek - Smouha	0:1
16.04.25	Smouha - Zamalek	0:1
Egyptian Cup
15.03.25	Zamalek - Smouha	4:2
Egyptian Premier League
08.11.24	Smouha - Zamalek	0:2
05.05.24	Smouha - Zamalek	1:0
21.10.23	Zamalek - Smouha	5:1

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