The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Brasilia 22.6%
Draw 27.8%
Sobradinho 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.5%
26.5%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.9%
25.8%
51.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Brasilia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Sobradinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Brasilia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sobradinho than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Real Brasilia - Sobradinho Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Real Brasilia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sobradinho will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', 0 - 1, ⚽,
89', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Real Brasilia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sobradinho is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Sobradinho is seen as the favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Brasilia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Brasilia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).