Match Info

National - Round 27

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	BFM Grand Lille, BFM Marseille Provence, FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Valenciennes		Aubagne

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.55	4.45
	1.69	3.85	5.15
	1.79	3.52	3.99	Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.6
	1.63	3.56	4.88	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.88)	3.53 ↑ (3.23)	4.47 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
53.3%

Draw
26.1%

Aubagne
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

28.3%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

27.6%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Aubagne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubagne than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Valenciennes - Aubagne Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Valenciennes will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Aubagne will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valenciennes: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valenciennes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Louchet J. (G) 32. Niakate S. 29. Coeff A. 5. Passi B. 20. Koum Mbondo A. 22. Boissier R. (C) 33. Marechal T. 11. Appuah S. 8. Rouai M. 26. Diomande D. 18. Courtet G.	1. Nouichi M. (G) 26. Nehari M. (C) 5. Chibani N. 13. Abdallah M. 21. Ali Hamidou N. D. 17. Ndiaye O. 18. Oudjani A. 34. El Kaddouri B. 27. Daou R. 9. Tlili K. 19. Berrabha D.
Substitutes
25. Belloumou S. 27. Daubin Q. 10. Ipiele A. 4. Landre L. 31. Osman B.	10. Boudraa S. 33. Curis I. 31. El Asrar M. 14. Mayilla E. 12. M'Dahoma K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Rouai M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Berrabha D. ↓, Boudraa S. ↑,
66', Boissier R. ↓, Belloumou S. ↑,
66', Diomande D. ↓, Osman B. ↑,
67', Daou R. ↓, Mayilla E. ↑,
75', Appuah S. ↓, Ipiele A. ↑,
84', Boudraa S. 🟨,
85', Oudjani A. ↓, El Asrar M. ↑,
85', Tlili K. ↓, M'Dahoma K. ↑,
90+4', Chibani N. 🟨,
90+4', Marechal T. ↓, Landre L. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 12).

Valenciennes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aubagne is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Aubagne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Valenciennes is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Valenciennes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Valenciennes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Valenciennes	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8
16	Aubagne	9	2	1	6	6:12	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 3
20.03.26	Concarneau - Valenciennes	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Villefranche - Valenciennes	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Valenciennes - Caen	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Valenciennes - Stade Briochin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWTL
- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
20.03.26	Aubagne - Sochaux	1:4 ✺
13.03.26	Dijon - Aubagne	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Aubagne - Fleury 91	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Versailles - Aubagne	3:0 ✺
20.02.26	Aubagne - Quevilly	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
21.10.25	Aubagne - Valenciennes	1:1
16.05.25	Aubagne - Valenciennes	0:3
16.08.24	Valenciennes - Aubagne	1:0

Valenciennes - Aubagne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide