Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Sochi 2		Rubin Yalta

	1	X	2
	2.34	2.89	3.24
	2.28	3.33	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.35)	3.11 ↓ (3.32)	2.89 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi 2
39.3%

Draw
29.2%

Rubin Yalta
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

27.2%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

26.7%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Rubin Yalta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi 2 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Yalta than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Sochi 2 - Rubin Yalta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
85. Silev D. (G) 80. Balkizov A. 74. Filimonov A. 83. Kalinov S. 66. Metsiev A. 60. Nosatiy M. 70. Sharipov S. 92. Shilov D. 94. Slepov M. 79. Totskiy E. 81. Yangaev A.	30. Dyachkov A. (G) 35. Balan Y. 52. Glebov I. 88. Koltakov A. 48. Marchenko A. 15. Naniev A. 18. Panamarev N. 10. Papazyan S. 66. Polyakh D. 33. Purak V. 22. Tarasenko M.
Substitutes
75. Chenchikov R. 63. Mkrtychyan A. 93. Nuretdinov F. 52. Salasin P. 36. Tkachev R. 91. Zavjalov N. (G)	77. Bolgov N. 7. Evloev I. 50. Naumenko S. (G) 11. Polshikov D. 19. Protsenko R. 25. Romashchuk I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Purak V. ⚽,
22', Yangaev A. 🟨,
24', 0 - 2, Balan Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Metsiev A. 🟨,
53', Kalinov S. ↓, Nuretdinov F. ↑,
55', Bolgov N. 🟨,
57', Balan Y. ↓, Polshikov D. ↑,
72', Koltakov A. ↓, Protsenko R. ↑,
74', Filimonov A. ↓, Chenchikov R. ↑,
74', Nuretdinov F. ↓, Mkrtychyan A. ↑,
85', Purak V. ↓, Evloev I. ↑,
86', Naniev A. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Chenchikov R. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sochi 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sochi 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sochi 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochi 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
04.10.25	Astrakhan - Sochi 2	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sochi 2 - Druzhba Maykop	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Sochi 2 - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Sochi 2 - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	5:1 ✺
06.09.25	Dynamo Stavropol - Sochi 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTTWL
- Rubin Yalta
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
04.10.25	Rubin Yalta - Spartak Nalchik	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Angust Nazran - Rubin Yalta	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Rubin Yalta - Legion Makhachkala	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Angust Nazran - Rubin Yalta	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Rubin Yalta - Legion Makhachkala	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
23.08.25	Rubin Yalta - Sochi 2	0:2
24.05.25	Sochi 2 - Rubin Yalta	0:1

Sochi 2 - Rubin Yalta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide