Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadium Named after A.I. Kolosov (Astrakhan)


	Astrakhan		Sochi 2

	1	X	2
	2.24	3.22	2.93
	2.25	3.39	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.28)	3.31 ↑ (3.1)	2.94 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astrakhan
40.9%

Draw
27.8%

Sochi 2
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

28.8%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sochi 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi 2 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Astrakhan - Sochi 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Grishin V. (G) 11. Bolonin A. 77. Karpov A. 23. Krivokhizhin E. 13. Levchenkov I. 52. Malomusov R. 27. Malysh M. 19. Pacho 89. Shatalov D. 18. Vladimirov D. 8. Zlobin N.	85. Silev D. (G) 80. Balkizov A. 95. Dys V. 74. Filimonov A. 83. Kalinov S. 66. Metsiev A. 78. Platonov P. 92. Shilov D. 94. Slepov M. 79. Totskiy E. 81. Yangaev A.
Substitutes
3. Abzalilov A. 4. Abzalilov S. 5. Atty-Bayeba A. 17. Belov D. 25. Galochkin F. 71. Krasilnikov A. (G) 41. Maslennikov I. 6. Musaev B. 7. Polushin M. 9. Predeus I. 15. Sizov D. 99. Zolotorenko D.	75. Chenchikov R. 63. Mkrtychyan A. 60. Nosatiy M. 70. Sharipov S. 91. Zavjalov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Pacho 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Pacho ⚽,
36', Zlobin N. 🟨,
43', Totskiy E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Dys V. ↓, Nosatiy M. ↑,
59', Filimonov A. ↓, Sharipov S. ↑,
63', Zlobin N. ↓, Galochkin F. ↑,
63', Pacho ↓, Predeus I. ↑,
72', Malysh M. ↓, Zolotorenko D. ↑,
74', Platonov P. 🟨,
75', 2 - 0, Predeus I. ⚽,
76', Totskiy E. ↓, Chenchikov R. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Shilov D. ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, Karpov A. ⚽,
82', 🟨,
84', Krivokhizhin E. ↓, Abzalilov A. ↑,
89', Levchenkov I. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sochi 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sochi 2 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Astrakhan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Astrakhan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Astrakhan
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
27.09.25	Spartak Nalchik - Astrakhan	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
24.09.25	Astrakhan - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
20.09.25	Astrakhan - Angust Nazran	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Kuban-Kholding - Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
09.09.25	Astrakhan - Legion Makhachkala	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW
- FC Sochi 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
27.09.25	Sochi 2 - Druzhba Maykop	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Sochi 2 - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Sochi 2 - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	5:1 ✺
06.09.25	Dynamo Stavropol - Sochi 2	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Sochi 2 - Rostov 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
16.08.25	Sochi 2 - Astrakhan	2:0
17.05.25	Astrakhan - Sochi 2	1:1

Astrakhan - Sochi 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide