FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Relegation Group - Round 1
Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday
Location: Avangard Stadium (Yalta)
Rubin Yalta
Legion Makhachkala
1
X
2
1.74
3.15
4.84
1.83
3
4
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.79 (1.79)
3.08 ↓ (3.58)
4.42 ↑ (3.83)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rubin Yalta 50.4%
Draw 29.3%
Legion Makhachkala 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
25.4%
23.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
24.3%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Yalta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Legion Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Yalta than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legion Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Rubin Yalta - Legion Makhachkala Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Dyachkov A. (G) 52. Glebov I. 88. Koltakov A. 48. Marchenko A. 15. Naniev A. 18. Panamarev N. 10. Papazyan S. 66. Polyakh D. 33. Purak V. (C) 22. Tarasenko M. 21. Ustinov A.
24. Klimanov R. (G) 15. Alim L. 5. Eremin A. 6. Gamzatov B. 3. Gasanov S. (C) 11. Ibragimov M. 2. Ipaev J. 21. Kurbanaliev A. 18. Matvienko Y. 19. Pereletov K. 28. Tokaev A.
Substitutes
35. Balan Y. 7. Evloev I. 50. Naumenko S. (G) 11. Polshikov D. 19. Protsenko R. 25. Romashchuk I.
1. Davudov A. (G) 33. Kotov S. 27. Magomedov A. 61. Magomedov I. 77. Pirmagomedov M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Koltakov A. ⚽,
20', Gasanov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kurbanaliev A. ↓, Kotov S. ↑,
46', Polyakh D. ↓, Fields D. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Alim L. ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, Purak V. ⚽,
61', Panamarev N. ↓, Polshikov D. ↑,
65', Ipaev D. 🟨,
66', Naniev A. 🟨,
72', 3 - 1, Ustinov A. ⚽,
78', Tarasenko M. ↓, Protsenko R. ↑,
85', Pereletov K. 🟨,
86', Matvienko Y. ↓, Pirmagomedov M. ↑,
86', Koltakov A. ↓, Romashchuk I. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin Yalta won 2.
In recent matches, Rubin Yalta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Legion's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Rubin Yalta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Rubin Yalta is seen as the favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rubin Yalta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Rubin Yalta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
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Dyachkov A. (G) 
Purak V. (C) 
Ipaev J. 
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