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Current Win Probability
Social Atlético Televisión 22.9%
Draw 29.9%
San Lorenzo de Almagro 47.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.4%
27.6%
52.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.9%
27%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Social Atlético Televisión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
San Lorenzo de Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Social Atlético Televisión than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Lorenzo de Almagro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SAT won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
SAT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, San Lorenzo is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, SAT won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.6:2).
Including home matches between the teams, SAT won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:2.3).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
San Lorenzo W
10
5
4
1
17:8
9
19
7
Social Atletico Television W
11
4
5
2
10:7
3
17
Last Results with these Odds
San Lorenzo de Almagro - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 52.08%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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