The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Lorenzo de Almagro 55.5%
Draw 27.2%
Ferro Carril Oeste 17.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.6%
24.8%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
24.1%
15.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo de Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo de Almagro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-2%)
San Lorenzo de Almagro - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Zacmon L. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Calvo B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, Arias E. ⚽,
63', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 2.
San Lorenzo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Ferro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, San Lorenzo is the team to beat.
We predict that San Lorenzo will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).