Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday


	Socuéllamos		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.5
	2.4	3.2	2.8
	2.5	3	2.65
	2.56	2.97	2.86
	2.44	3.18	2.71
	2.55	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (4.56)	3.06 ↓ (3.35)	2.7 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Socuéllamos
36.5%

Draw
29.8%

Cacereño
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

26.8%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

26.4%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Socuéllamos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Socuéllamos's performance.

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cacereño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Socuéllamos than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Socuéllamos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cacereño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Socuéllamos - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cacereño will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Socuéllamos won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Socuéllamos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Socuéllamos
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.10.22	Villanovense - Socuéllamos	0:2 ✺
09.10.22	Socuéllamos - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Melilla - Socuéllamos	3:0 ✺
25.09.22	Socuéllamos - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Alcorcón B - Socuéllamos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLLT
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.10.22	Cacereño - Diocesano	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Cacereño - Leganés B	2:1 ✺
02.10.22	Villanovense - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	Cacereño - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Melilla - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
10.06.18	Cacereño - Socuéllamos	0:4
03.06.18	Socuéllamos - Cacereño	1:0

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