Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday


	Cacereño		Diocesano

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.8	5.25
	1.45	4.15	7
	1.51	3.75	5.4
	1.56	4.25	4.99
	1.55	3.72	5.6
	1.52	3.8	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.41)	3.91 ↓ (4)	5.64 ↓ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
60.3%

Draw
23.4%

Diocesano
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

22.8%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

21.7%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cacereño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Cacereño - Diocesano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cacereño will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Diocesano will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 7).

Recent matches Cacereño is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Diocesano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Diocesano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cacereño is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Cacereño won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.10.22	Cacereño - Leganés B	2:1 ✺
02.10.22	Villanovense - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	Cacereño - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Melilla - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Cacereño - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW
- CD Diocesano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.10.22	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Diocesano	1:2 ✺
08.10.22	Diocesano - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Atlético Paso - Diocesano	3:0 ✺
25.09.22	Diocesano - Melilla	2:1 ✺
18.09.22	Navalcarnero - Diocesano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
10.01.21	Diocesano - Cacereño	0:1
18.10.20	Cacereño - Diocesano	2:3
09.02.20	Diocesano - Cacereño	1:2
22.09.19	Cacereño - Diocesano	1:1

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