Match Info

Date: 22 November 2020, Sunday


	Socuéllamos		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.95
	2.05	3.4	3.2
	2.19	3.05	3.05
	2.29	3.43	3.16
	2.22	3.16	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.2)	3.25 ↑ (3.15)	3.11 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Socuéllamos
42.1%

Draw
28.3%

Mérida AD
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.9%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

20.3%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Socuéllamos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Socuéllamos than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Socuéllamos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mérida AD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Socuéllamos - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage)).

Socuéllamos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mérida AD is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Socuéllamos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Socuéllamos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Socuéllamos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Socuéllamos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Socuéllamos
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.11.20	Villanovense - Socuéllamos	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	Socuéllamos - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
25.10.20	Villarrobledo - Socuéllamos	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Socuéllamos - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.20	Socuéllamos - Atzeneta	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTTL
- Mérida AD
Club Friendly
13.11.20	Moralo - Mérida AD	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.11.20	Mérida AD - Melilla	2:0 ✺
31.10.20	Villarrubia - Mérida AD	2:1 ✺
25.10.20	Villanovense - Mérida AD	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Mérida AD - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
02.06.19	Mérida AD - Socuéllamos	1:0 penalties
26.05.19	Socuéllamos - Mérida AD	0:0

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