Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday


	Villarrubia		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.4
	1.8	3.3	4.3
	1.86	3	4.2
	1.93	3.16	4.72
	1.98	3.2	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.89)	3.15 ↑ (3.12)	4.28 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarrubia
49.3%

Draw
29.2%

Mérida AD
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

28.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

19.5%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarrubia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarrubia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mérida AD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Villarrubia - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Villarrubia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Villarrubia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Villarrubia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarrubia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarrubia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.10.20	Extremadura UD - Villarrubia	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
21.10.20	Villarrubia - UCAM Murcia	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.10.20	Villarrubia - Villanovense	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.10.20	Villarrubia - Utrera	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.20	Villarrobledo - Villarrubia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLLWT
- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.10.20	Villanovense - Mérida AD	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Mérida AD - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.20	Mérida AD - Cadiz CF B	1:1 ✺
07.10.20	Coria - Mérida AD	0:2 ✺
30.09.20	Miajadas - Mérida AD	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.02.20	Villarrubia - Mérida AD	5:1
06.10.19	Mérida AD - Villarrubia	1:3

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