Match Info

Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 23

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Sogndal 2		Gneist

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.20	3.60
	1.62	4.30	3.60
	1.63	4.56	3.42
	1.67	4.8	3.59	Watch
	1.62	4.60	3.40
	1.62	4.45	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.64)	4.49 ↓ (4.53)	3.56 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sogndal 2
54.8%

Draw
20%

Gneist
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

19.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

19.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sogndal 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Gneist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal 2 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gneist than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Sogndal 2 - Gneist Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 13th in the Relegation).

Recent results have been tough for Sogndal 2 (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Gneist has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sogndal 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Sogndal 2 for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sogndal 2	22	8	3	11	56:46	10	27
13	Gneist	22	5	3	14	35:62	-27	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
26.09.26	Djerv 1919 - Sogndal 2	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Sogndal 2 - Vard Haugesund	2:4 ✺
12.09.26	Varegg - Sogndal 2	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Sogndal 2 - Fyllingsdalen	7:0 ✺
31.08.26	Åsane 2 - Sogndal 2	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- IL Gneist
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
03.10.26	Gneist - Djerv 1919	0:5 ✺
19.09.26	Gneist - Varegg	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Fyllingsdalen - Gneist	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Gneist - Åsane 2	3:3 ✺
30.08.26	Askøy - Gneist	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTWTL

Sogndal 2 - Gneist: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide