Match Info

Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 23

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Sogndal 2		Gneist

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.20	3.60
	1.68	4.3	3.4
	1.79	4.66	2.95
	1.74	4.88	3.24	Watch
	1.77	4.6	2.9
	1.71	4.5	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.64)	4.52 ↓ (4.53)	3.24 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sogndal 2
52.3%

Draw
19.9%

Gneist
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.8%

19.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

19%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogndal 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Gneist has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal 2 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gneist than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Sogndal 2 - Gneist Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Ali M. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Ali M. ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Kvamsdal A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
61', 2 - 2, Adonaba T. ⚽,
61', 3 - 2, Abdi K. ⚽,
69', 3 - 3, Sagstad T. ⚽,
90+7', 4 - 3, Stavo S. ⚽,
90+9', 5 - 3, Stavo S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 13th in the Relegation).

Recent results have been tough for Sogndal 2 (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Gneist has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sogndal 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Sogndal 2 for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sogndal 2	25	9	3	13	64:57	7	30
13	Gneist ✔	25	5	3	17	42:76	-34	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
26.09.26	Djerv 1919 - Sogndal 2	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Sogndal 2 - Vard Haugesund	2:4 ✺
12.09.26	Varegg - Sogndal 2	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Sogndal 2 - Fyllingsdalen	7:0 ✺
31.08.26	Åsane 2 - Sogndal 2	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- IL Gneist
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
03.10.26	Gneist - Djerv 1919	0:5 ✺
19.09.26	Gneist - Varegg	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Fyllingsdalen - Gneist	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Gneist - Åsane 2	3:3 ✺
30.08.26	Askøy - Gneist	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTWTL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
31.10.26	Stord Sunnhordland - Sogndal 2	✺

Sogndal 2 - Gneist