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Current Win Probability
Sokół Kleczew 42.3%
Draw 25.4%
Polkowice 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.9%
26%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.9%
26%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sokół Kleczew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Polkowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polkowice's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Kleczew than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polkowice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sokół Kleczew - Polkowice Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Mazur K. (G) 15. Andrzejewski J. 5. Bartosiak M. (C) 11. Dudzinski D. 3. Gawlik M. 4. Janiszewski K. 47. Kargul-Grobla K. 9. Sangowski J. 23. Sliwa M. 7. Stangret M. 17. Tkaczyk J.
1. Furtak M. (G) 29. Baranowski F. 14. Bogacz M. 99. Jozwiak M. 26. Rymaniak B. (C) 23. Skrzypczak S. 25. Sobczak K. 8. Solarz M. 5. Stawny M. 28. Wirenski J. 42. Zendelek K.
Substitutes
20. Branecki J. 14. Karbowy F. 28. Kostevych V. 22. Kubacki A. 12. Medrala M. (G) 10. Retlewski D. 6. Szczepankiewicz B. 21. Wandachowicz B. 2. Zimmer M.
. Kwapisz S. . Leopold O. . Mojzyk O. . Ratajczak J. . Rogalski J. 10. Starzynski F. . Strzelecki K. 11. Surozynski M. . Wernicki W. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Jozwiak M. 🟨,
42', Bartosiak M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Janiszewski K. ↓, Retlewski D. ↑,
47', Dudzinski D. 🟨,
51', Baranowski F. 🟨,
58', Baranowski F. ↓, Leopold O. ↑,
62', Skrzypczak S. 🟨,
64', Wirenski J. ↓, Strzelecki K. ↑,
67', Tkaczyk J. ↓, Kubacki A. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Retlewski D. ⚽,
78', Bartosiak M. ↓, Zimmer M. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Dudzinski D. ⚽,
83', Jozwiak M. ↓, Rogalski J. ↑,
83', Solarz M. ↓, Starzynski F. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Sliwa M. (Own goal),
90+1', Janiszewski K. 🟨,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
94', 3 - 1, Sliwa M. ⚽,
105', Leopold O. 🟨,
106', Dudzinski D. ↓, Karbowy F. ↑,
106', Sliwa M. 🟨,
120+1', 4 - 1, Sliwa M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 0-1.
Recent form of Kleczew has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Polkowice has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Kleczew may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Kleczew has had a series of away games.
Kleczew is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kleczew won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.