Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 30

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki		Jagiellonia II Białystok

	1	X	2
	5.4	5.6	1.36
	5.62	5.8	1.38	Watch
	5.4	5.6	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.47 ↑ (5.43)	5.67 ↑ (5.6)	1.37 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki
16.7%

Draw
16.2%

Jagiellonia II Białystok
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

16.3%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

15.4%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Dynel L. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Drygiel P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 1 - 2, Drygiel P. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Sokół Aleksandrów is Relegated to

Sokół Aleksandrów has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Jagiellonia II is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Jagiellonia II is the team to beat.

We predict that Jagiellonia II will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sokół Aleksandrów won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sokół Aleksandrów won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.05.25	Victoria Sulejówek - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	3:1 ✺
02.05.25	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Wisła Płock II	2:3 ✺
26.04.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.05.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wigry Suwałki	1:0 ✺
02.05.25	Mławianka Mława - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:3 ✺
26.04.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wikielec	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Warta Sieradz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.10.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	1:0
27.04.22	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2
19.09.21	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	2:0
27.03.21	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2

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