Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 31

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Mławianka Mława		Jagiellonia II Białystok

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.4
	2.35	3.85	2.52
	2.41	3.56	2.51	Watch
	2.38	3.5	2.4
	2.41	3.9	2.44	Watch
	1.69	3.65	3.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.69)	3.68 ↑ (3.65)	2.68 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mławianka Mława
40.5%

Draw
25.1%

Jagiellonia II Białystok
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

24.3%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

23.2%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mławianka Mława has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mławianka Mława's form might have worsened.

Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jagiellonia II Białystok's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mławianka Mława, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia II Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mławianka Mława - Jagiellonia II Białystok Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Sylla Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mławianka won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Mławianka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mławianka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mławianka won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.4:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mławianka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Jagiellonia II	10	4	3	3	22:20	2	15
15	Mlawa	11	3	1	7	22:32	-10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
09.05.26	Wigry Suwałki - Mławianka Mława	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Mławianka Mława - Broń Radom	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Mławianka Mława	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Mławianka Mława - Znicz Biała Piska	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Wikielec - Mławianka Mława	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL
- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.05.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - ŁKS Łomża	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Warta Sieradz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Widzew Łódź II	1:4 ✺
19.04.26	Broń Radom - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Znicz Biała Piska - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.10.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	3:2
02.05.25	Mławianka Mława - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:3
05.10.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	2:2
09.03.24	Mławianka Mława - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:1
19.08.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	3:0
11.06.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	3:3
12.11.22	Mławianka Mława - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:3

Upcoming Matches