Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 17

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday


	Sokół Ostróda		Ursus Warszawa

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	4.5
	1.7	3.55	4.05
	1.59	3.9	4.4
	1.56	3.82	4.87
	1.68	3.85	4.1	Watch
	1.55	4	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)	3.8 ↓ (3.95)	4.43 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokół Ostróda
55.9%

Draw
23.7%

Ursus Warszawa
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

23%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

22%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokół Ostróda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ursus Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Ostróda than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Sokół Ostróda - Ursus Warszawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ostróda will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ursus Warszawa will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Ostróda in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ursus Warszawa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ursus Warszawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ostróda is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ostróda to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ostróda won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ostróda won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokół Ostróda
Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.11.22	Błonianka Błonie - Sokół Ostróda	2:3 ✺
06.11.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Sokół Ostróda - Pelikan Łowicz	4:1 ✺
22.10.22	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Sokół Ostróda - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 WTWWW
- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.11.22	Ursus Warszawa - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:7 ✺
06.11.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Ursus Warszawa	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Ursus Warszawa - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ursus Warszawa	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Ursus Warszawa - Legionovia Legionowo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
09.11.19	Ursus Warszawa - Sokół Ostróda	2:2
27.04.19	Ursus Warszawa - Sokół Ostróda	1:0
08.09.18	Sokół Ostróda - Ursus Warszawa	3:2
07.04.18	Ursus Warszawa - Sokół Ostróda	0:0
26.08.17	Sokół Ostróda - Ursus Warszawa	0:0

Sokół Ostróda - Ursus Warszawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide