Match Info

Date: 20 July 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Villa Elisa)

Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)


	Sol de América		12 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.6	Watch
	1.98	2.95	3.7
	1.98	2.95	3.85
	2.04	3.05	3.65
	2.14	3.06	4.18
	1.95	3	4	Watch
	2.07	3.16	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.83)	3.02 ↓ (3.27)	3.81 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sol de América
45.4%

Draw
30.5%

12 de Octubre
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

28.4%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

30.3%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sol de América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sol de América's form might have worsened.

12 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de América than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sol de América, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 12 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55%	20%	25%

Sol de América - 12 de Octubre Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sol de América will win (votes: 11 - 55%). 12 de Octubre will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sol de América: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sol de América won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

12 de Octubre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sol de América is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sol de América won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Sol de América won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sol de América
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.07.22	Resistencia - Sol de América	2:1 ✺
01.07.22	Sol de América - Sportivo Ameliano	0:1 ✺
27.06.22	Tacuary - Sol de América	2:2 ✺
21.06.22	Sol de América - Libertad Asuncion	0:3 ✺
17.06.22	General Caballero JLM - Sol de América	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTLT
- 12 de Octubre FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.07.22	Cerro Porteño - 12 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
03.07.22	12 de Octubre - General Caballero JLM	1:3 ✺
26.06.22	Olimpia Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	4:1 ✺
22.06.22	Resistencia - 12 de Octubre	0:1 ✺
18.06.22	12 de Octubre - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
12.06.22	Sol de América - 12 de Octubre	0:0
19.03.22	12 de Octubre - Sol de América	0:1
04.12.21	12 de Octubre - Sol de América	1:0
19.09.21	Sol de América - 12 de Octubre	0:1
23.04.21	Sol de América - 12 de Octubre	0:3
20.02.21	12 de Octubre - Sol de América	0:5
13.12.20	Sol de América - 12 de Octubre	0:0

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