Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 21

Date: 8 November 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio (Itauguá) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Armoa J. (Par)


	12 de Octubre		General Caballero JLM

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.8
	3.8	3.4	1.77
	3.85	3.4	1.85
	3.9	3.6	1.8
	4.4	3.78	1.84
	4.2	3.3	1.78	Watch
	4	3.58	1.81	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.14)	3.53 ↑ (3.29)	1.81 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

12 de Octubre
23%

Draw
26.1%

General Caballero JLM
50.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30%

28.7%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

28.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

12 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 12 de Octubre's form might have worsened.

General Caballero JLM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting General Caballero JLM's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 12 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 12 de Octubre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General Caballero JLM than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for General Caballero JLM, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.6%	9.7%	67.7%

12 de Octubre - General Caballero JLM Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. 12 de Octubre will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). General Caballero will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for General Caballero: 51.2% – 84.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

General Caballero JLM could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match General Caballero JLM is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches 12 de Octubre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams 12 de Octubre won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 12 de Octubre FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.10.22	Olimpia Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	3:1 ✺
27.10.22	12 de Octubre - Sportivo Ameliano	4:0 ✺
21.10.22	Tacuary - 12 de Octubre	5:1 ✺
14.10.22	12 de Octubre - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
09.10.22	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLTT
- General Caballero JLM
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.11.22	General Caballero JLM - Resistencia	1:0 ✺
27.10.22	Cerro Porteño - General Caballero JLM	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Olimpia Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Ameliano	2:0 ✺
12.10.22	Tacuary - General Caballero JLM	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
12.09.22	General Caballero JLM - 12 de Octubre	2:1
03.07.22	12 de Octubre - General Caballero JLM	1:3
20.04.22	General Caballero JLM - 12 de Octubre	0:0

12 de Octubre - General Caballero JLM