Match Info

Division 3 - Group 5 - Round 19

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Sola		Våg

	1	X	2
	2.05	4	2.55
	2.78	4.45	1.92
	2.71	4.4	1.96
	7.20	4.38	1.40	Watch
	2.79	4.66	1.97
	2.1	4.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.1)	4.36 ↑ (4.25)	2.06 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sola
29.9%

Draw
22.5%

Våg
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

21.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

21.8%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sola's form might have worsened.

Våg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Våg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sola than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Våg than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Våg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sola - Våg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Kjostvedt E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
70', 0 - 2, Radgowski M. ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, Alsaker Skjefras O. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Kjeldsberg B. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 10)

Sola is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Våg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sola won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sola FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
30.08.25	Stord Sunnhordland - Sola	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Sola - Madla	1:3 ✺
16.08.25	Vindbjart - Sola	8:0 ✺
07.08.25	Sola - Vidar	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Djerv 1919 - Sola	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 52 LLLWL
- Våg FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
30.08.25	Våg - Hinna	4:0 ✺
23.08.25	Staal Jørpeland - Våg	1:3 ✺
18.08.25	Våg - Viking 2	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Våg - Madla	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Stord Sunnhordland - Våg	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
26.04.25	Våg - Sola	1:3

Sola - Våg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide