Match Info

African Nations Championship

Date: 4 August 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nelson Mandela National Stadium (Kampala) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, New World Sport 5, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
Andorra	19:00	beIN Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Cameroon	18:00	Media Sport Info
Canada	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
France	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Ghana	17:00	GTV Sports Plus
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Indonesia	00:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	00:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:00	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Nigeria	18:00	Supersport Maximo 1
South Africa	19:00	SABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
Thailand	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Uganda	20:00	FUFA TV, UBC TV
Usa	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz


	Uganda		Algeria

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.1	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.45
	3.7	2.98	2.08	Watch
	3.76	3.05	2.13
	3.65	2.87	2.21	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	3.6	3.13	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.79)	3 ↓ (3.04)	2.23 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uganda
27.4%

Draw
31%

Algeria
41.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

30.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uganda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uganda's form might have worsened.

Algeria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Algeria's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Uganda - Algeria Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Uganda will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Algeria will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Algeria: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Algeria (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Uganda (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Uganda (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Algeria (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Mutakubwa J. (G) BUL 4. Odongo G. NEC FC 13. Torach R. Vipers 22. Kizito G. Kampala City 2. Odong A. Villa 24. Ssebagala E. NEC FC 23. Sserunjogi J. Kampala City 21. Okello A. (C) Vipers 10. Kakande P. Villa 7. Ssemugabi J. Kitara 17. Anyama E. Kampala City	23. Bouhalfaya Z. (G) Constantine 19. Ghezala A. (C) MC Alger 20. Chetti I. USM Alger 4. Alilet A. USM Alger 12. Halaimia M. MC Alger 13. Boukerchaoui B. CR Belouizdad 8. Draoui Z. MC Alger 5. Merbah M. Constantine 7. Belhocini A. Constantine 18. Mahious A. Yverdon 711. Meziane A. CR Belouizdad
Substitutes
5. Achayi H. Express FC 15. Bwambale L. Kitara 1. Kiggundu D. (G) Vipers 19. Kusiima C. (G) Kitara 20. Kwikiriza S. Kampala City 14. Mpande R. Villa 16. Mukundane H. Vipers 3. Mwere N. BUL 8. Ngonde E. Villa 12. Sentamu Y. Vipers 11. Usama A. Kampala City 25. Watambala K. Vipers	28. Abada A. ASO Chlef 9. Bayazid S. MC Alger 3. Bekkour A. CR Belouizdad 26. Boudjemaa M. Kabylie 24. Khacef N. CR Belouizdad 10. Kohili B. A. Paradou 27. Mechid D. E. USM Alger 16. Medjadel A. (G) ASO Chlef 21. Merghem M. USM Alger 6. Meziani T. MC Alger 2. Nechat F. Kabylie 15. Radouani S. USM Alger
Coaches
Byekwaso M.	Bougherra M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Anyama E. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Ghezala A. ⚽, Meziane A. (A),
41', Sserunjogi J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ssemugabi J. ↓, Watambala K. ↑,
69', Mahious A. ↓, Bayazid S. ↑,
69', Belhocini A. ↓, Khacef N. ↑,
74', Ssebagala E. ↓, Kwikiriza S. ↑,
74', Anyama E. ↓, Sentamu Y. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Meziane A. ⚽, Merbah M. (A),
79', 0 - 3, Bayazid S. ⚽, Khacef N. (A),
84', Meziane A. ↓, Meziani T. ↑,
84', Ghezala A. ↓, Abada A. ↑,
86', Kakande P. ↓, Usama A. ↑,
86', Okello A. ↓, Mpande R. ↑,
88', Boukerchaoui B. ↓, Merghem M. ↑,
90+2', Kwikiriza S. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Uganda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uganda
Friendly
09.06.25	Uganda - Gambia	1:1 ✺
06.06.25	Cameroon - Uganda	3:0
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Uganda - Guinea	1:0 ✺
20.03.25	Mozambique - Uganda	3:1 ✺
African Nations Championship
29.12.24	Uganda - Burundi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWLW
- Algeria
Friendly
10.06.25	Sweden - Algeria	4:3 ✺
09.06.25	Algeria - Rwanda	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Algeria - Rwanda	2:0 ✺
African Nations Championship
09.05.25	Algeria - Gambia	3:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Algeria - Mozambique	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
10.06.24	Uganda - Algeria	1:2
Africa Cup of Nations
18.06.23	Uganda - Algeria	1:2
04.06.22	Algeria - Uganda	2:0

Uganda - Algeria