Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Somaspor		1461 Trabzon

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.05	1.75
	3.95	4.42	1.68
	4.04	3.8	1.7
	4.2	3.3	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.07)	3.89 ↑ (3.4)	1.7 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somaspor
23%

Draw
23.4%

1461 Trabzon
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

26.7%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.4%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Somaspor's form might have worsened.

1461 Trabzon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting 1461 Trabzon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Somaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1461 Trabzon than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for 1461 Trabzon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Somaspor - 1461 Trabzon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Karakus E. ⚽, Sarikaya M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 2, Aydinel E. S. ⚽, Karakus E. (A),
90+2', 0 - 3, Gunes S. ⚽, Tintis E. (A),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 14).

Somaspor has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

1461 Trabzon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

1461 Trabzon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, 1461 Trabzon is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Somaspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Somaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.09.25	Somaspor - Aliaga	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Muş Spor - Somaspor	4:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.09.25	Somaspor - Çankaya	1:3 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
13.09.25	Ankara Demirspor - Somaspor	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Somaspor - Mardin 1969	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- 1461 Trabzon
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.10.25	1461 Trabzon - Ankara Demirspor	3:4 ✺
28.09.25	Mardin 1969 - 1461 Trabzon	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	1461 Trabzon - Fethiyespor	2:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.09.25	Yeni Amasyaspor - 1461 Trabzon	0:1 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
13.09.25	Guzide Gebzespor - 1461 Trabzon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
01.05.22	1461 Trabzon - Somaspor	3:1

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