Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Somozas		Noia

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.05	3.65
	1.97	3.13	3.66
	1.95	3.08	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.95)	3.09 ↑ (3.08)	3.65 (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somozas
46.1%

Draw
29.2%

Noia
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29.2%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.2%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Somozas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Noia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Somozas - Noia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Somozas is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Noia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Somozas might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Somozas will win today's game, with odds of 1.95.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Somozas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Somozas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Somozas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
26.10.25	RC Villalbes - Somozas	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Somozas - Barbadás	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Alondras - Somozas	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Somozas - Lugo B	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Gran Peña - Somozas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WWWWT
- CF Noia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Noia - Montañeros	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Arosa - Noia	5:2 ✺
12.10.25	Noia - Atlético Arteixo	2:3 ✺
05.10.25	Viveiro - Noia	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	RC Villalbes - Noia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
01.03.25	Noia - Somozas	2:1
20.10.24	Somozas - Noia	2:2
20.02.22	Noia - Somozas	0:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
29.04.18	Noia - Somozas	1:0

Somozas - Noia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide