Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 15

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday


	Son Cladera		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.62
	6.76	4.12	1.41
	5.88	3.15	1.68	Watch
	4.8	3.3	1.67
	4.84	3.52	1.64
	4.75	3.33	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.3 ↓ (6.85)	3.49 ↓ (4)	1.62 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Son Cladera
17.3%

Draw
26.2%

Peña Deportiva
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

22.7%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

22.2%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Son Cladera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Son Cladera than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Son Cladera - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Son Cladera will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Peña Deportiva will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Peña Deportiva (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).

Son Cladera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Peña Deportiva is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Peña Deportiva is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Son Cladera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Son Cladera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Son Cladera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
10.01.26	Son Cladera - Binissalem	0:3 ✺
04.01.26	Felanitx - Son Cladera	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Portmany - Son Cladera	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Son Cladera - Rotlet Molinar	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Collerense - Son Cladera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLTT
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
10.01.26	Collerense - Peña Deportiva	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Peña Deportiva - Santanyí	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Peña Deportiva - Alcúdia	5:1 ✺
06.12.25	Mallorca B - Peña Deportiva	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Peña Deportiva - Platges de Calvià	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
06.01.19	Son Cladera - Peña Deportiva	2:0

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