The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Soneja 26.1%
Draw 32.1%
Torrellano 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
29.3%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
28.1%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Soneja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Torrellano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Soneja than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torrellano than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Soneja - Torrellano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 🟥,
73', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Torrellano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Soneja won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Soneja won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).