Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 26

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: WIRmachenDRUCK Arena (Aspach)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sonnenhof Großaspach		Homburg

	1	X	2
	1.72	4.05	3.85
	1.74	4.07	3.81
	1.72	4.11	3.8
	1.67	3.98	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.74)	4.05 ↑ (3.91)	3.86 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonnenhof Großaspach
53.6%

Draw
22.6%

Homburg
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

23.4%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

22.6%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonnenhof Großaspach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Homburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sonnenhof Großaspach than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Sonnenhof Großaspach - Homburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Aidonis A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 1 - 1, Mendler M. ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, Heilig M. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Großaspach won 0.

Großaspach is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Homburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Großaspach may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Großaspach is the team to beat.

We predict that Großaspach will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Großaspach won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Großaspach won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	FC 08 Homburg	11	4	4	3	15:15	0	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sonnenhof Großaspach
German Regionalliga Sudwest
20.03.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - TSV Steinbach Haiger	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Kickers Offenbach - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Hessen Kassel	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Eintracht Trier - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Freiburg II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW
- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
22.03.26	Homburg - Mainz II	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Homburg	1:4 ✺
08.03.26	Homburg - Kickers Offenbach	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Astoria Walldorf - Homburg	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Homburg - Balingen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
27.09.25	Homburg - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:1
16.04.22	Homburg - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:0
27.10.21	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Homburg	3:3
01.05.21	Homburg - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:1
16.12.20	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Homburg	1:1
25.03.14	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Homburg	5:1
07.09.13	Homburg - Sonnenhof Großaspach	0:3

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